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Thursday, March 16, 2017

YUGE: Trump Deportations Could Prevent Michigan From Losing An Electoral Vote (And Member Of Congress)

President Trump


By Brandon Hall
(Email Him At WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)


Michigan is likely to lose an electoral vote and therefore a member of our Congressional delegation in 2022 during redistricting after the 2020 census. However, President Trump just might have something to say about that...

According to MIRS:

"It's presumed Michigan will lose a congressional seat. That could change if Michigan's population picks up in a big way or if a significant number of illegal immigrants are removed from the United States, which would significantly lower the population level used to allocate congressional districts."

That's what Ed Sarpolus of Target Insyght believes...

More of his redistricting analysis from MIRS: 

"Ed SARPOLUS of Target Insyght, whose drawn political district maps since the 1980s, told MIRS Monday today if the Republicans retain the Senate and the Governor's office in 2018, they will secure two out of the three positions needed to control the pen in 2020, as they did in 2010. 

And if that is the case, Sarpolus said the easiest seat for them to eliminate is the southern Oakland County/Macomb County district currently represented by U.S. Rep. Sandy LEVIN(D-Royal Oak). U.S. Rep. Mike BISHOP's 8th Congressional District would wrap around Oakland County and pick up much of Levin's district, including the senior House member's Royal Oak home. 

U.S. Rep. Justin AMASH (R-Cascade Twp.) would pick up Ingham County. U.S. Rep. PaulMITCHELL (R-Dryden Twp.) would lose the Thumb to U.S. Rep. Dan KILDEE's (D-Flint Twp.) district while picking up much more of Macomb County. 

U.S. Rep. John MOOLENAAR's (R-Midland) district would become geographically gigantic, stretching from the Lake Michigan shoreline to Bay County on the Lake Huron coastline. 

U.S. Rep. Debbie DINGELL (D-Dearborn) would pick up much more of Washtenaw County. 

Sarpolus was able to preserve the two districts with a majority of a minority population under his potential plan, which takes an otherwise likely federal civil rights lawsuit off the table. 

Amash's district goes from a 44 percent Democratic base to a 47 percent Dem base. Moolenaar's district goes from a 45 percent Dem base to a 47 percent Dem base and Mitchell's goes from 46 to 48 percent base. 

On the other hand, if Democrats take control of the Governor's office, the Senate or the House, they could negotiate to make the 4th, 3rd or 7th congressional district shaped in a way that give a Democrat a real shot, Sarpolus said."





Sarpolus also says that if Dems win in 2018 and draw the redistricting maps, they may try to create a West Michigan district for a Democrat that would include Grand Rapids and Muskegon...

Stay tuned!



 __________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com
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Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Weiser Drains The Swamp: Doster Removed As MIGOP General Counsel, Pero Chosen As Replacement

Weiser, left, Doster, right


By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
It's finally happened: after spending years as the Michigan Republican Party's lawyer, surviving Chair after Chair despite controversy after controversy, Eric Doster has been removed by Chairman Ron Weiser.

Doster is the epitome of an establishment insider who has ruthlessly worked against the grassroots behind the scenes. He's also used his position to push horrendous legislation and target conservatives in primaries to benefit his handpicked candidates, among other things...

Doster was recently in the news for his role as the political wingman for controversial Democrat Jim Fouts, Mayor of Warren...

Doster's replacement is Colleen Pero.



Colleen Pero

In addition to her role as the MIGOP's legal adviser, Pero also serves as Weiser's Chief Of Staff.

According to Jonathan Oosting of the Detroit News:

"Pero’s Republican Party credentials span decades. She has worked as national deputy political director for Lamar Alexander during his presidential bid, as executive director for the Michigan Bush-Quayle campaign and in senior positions under Michigan Gov. John Engler and in the Michigan Senate. She began her political work with the House Republican Campaign committee.

Pero, an attorney, also is the former chair of the State Board of Canvassers, where she recently proposed the conditional suspension of a recount of the Nov. 8 presidential election sparked by Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

She also was the deputy director of the Michigan Department of Civil Rights."



Drolet Vs. Doster: MIGOP Attorney Does Controversial Dem Mayor's Dirty Work




Read more here:

The Curious Case Of SB 571: Controversial MIGOP Lawyer Eric Doster Involved In Shady Last Minute Amendment?
http://westmipolitics.blogspot.com/2016/01/the-curious-case-of-sb-571.html

 


 __________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com
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Josh Paciorek Named Deputy Press Secretary For Vice President Pence

Josh Paciorek with fiance Sarah Dickinson


By Brandon Hall
(Email Him At WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)

Josh Paciorek (that's Puh-chore-ick :p) has been named as Vice President Mike Pence's new Deputy Press Secretary.

Paciorek previously served as Deputy Press Secretary for Governor Rick Snyder. He was also the digital director for Snyder's re-election campaign in 2014.

Paciorek is a 2014 Michigan State graduate...

 __________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com
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Trump Tells Snyder He Remembers His Refusal To Endorse: "I Never Forget"



By Brandon Hall
(Email Him At WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)

President Donald Trump visited Michigan today, giving a speech at Willow Run airport highlighting his "Buy American, Hire American" mantra, as well as his support of the auto industry.

After the speech, the President told Gov. Snyder to join him for a photo even though he didn't endorse him.

Secretary of Transportation Elaine Chao then quipped that Trump hasn't forgotten..."I never forget," Trump responded.



 __________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com
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