Pages

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Feel The Bern: Hillary's Michigan Lead DESTROYED As Trump Leads Among Young Michiganders, Emerson Accused Of Rigging Poll



By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
Hillary's polls in Michigan have absolutely collapsed in the last week: what was once a 10% lead coming out of the convention has been cut in half, and Trump's momentum continues to grow.

"The Donald" even just announced a new TV ad buy in the Great Lakes State.

The recent Michigan polls show:

Suffolk: Hillary +7%
Emerson: Hillary +5%
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump +1%

The Ipsos poll receives an "A" rating from popular pollster Nate Silver at 538, and the same poll previously had Hillary up 2%.

The most interesting poll though may be the Emerson poll out Monday. Neither it, or the Reuters/Ipsos poll seem to be getting as much coverage as past polls...

It looks like many young Michigan Bernie Sanders supporters are backing Trump over Hillary while sadly some Republicans pout on the sidelines!

Young people understand the stakes are high, we know Hillary Clinton will sell us out to the highest bidder.

According to reports:

"Younger voters favor Clinton over Trump in Ohio (by 50% to 32%) and Pennsylvania (42% to 39%).

But in Michigan, where young people helped Bernie Sanders stage an upset over Clinton in the Democratic primary, Trump leads 45% to 33% among those 18-34.

Both candidates are receiving about 80% of their party vote. However, Independents are consistently lining up for Trump. In Ohio his edge with Independents is 47% (Trump) to 30% for Clinton, in Michigan it’s 39% to 38% and in Pennsylvania 43% to 37%."

One analysis contends the poll is too heavily weighted towards the 75+ demographic and that, as the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows, Trump is actually ahead of Hillary in Michigan.

"Michigan poll rigged, Trump actually winning 47-38 (Emerson):

"(E)ver curious about Trump converting solid blue states, I looked at the Michigan data and noticed a whopper of a rigging attempt -- they made nearly half of their sample aged 75 and older! Michigan may not be the youngest state in the union, but half of the electorate there is not going to be in a nursing home.

Moreover, the cross-tabs show that this elderly group is demographically unlike Michigan overall in the most anti-Trump way -- they are far more Democrat, far less Republican / Independent, more female, less educated, far more black, and more likely to live in the Detroit area.

Did they rig the OH and PA samples to be composed of nearly half elderly folks? No, because the true results are probably more favorable to Clinton in those states (more or less tied). In fact, both OH and PA have the same breakdown by age groups, and only 9% were aged 75+. The age composition for both OH and PA is:

18-34 -- 25%
35-54 -- 37%
55-74 -- 29%
75++ -- 09%

In Michigan, the age composition was impossibly older:

18-34 -- 16%
35-54 -- 21%
55-74 -- 18%
75++ -- 44%

Way, way, way off. They under-sampled young, middle, and old by 10 points or more, and replaced them with the elderly Trump-haters.

Here is Trump support by age group in MI:

18-34 -- 45
35-54 -- 52
55-74 -- 48
75++ -- 28

I took Trump's support among the various age groups in MI, and weighted them by the age composition of the accurate OH and PA samples. What was the result?

Surprise: Trump 47, Clinton 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3, Unsure 4.

Looks like the original home of the "Reagan Democrats" is stepping up to the plate to Make America Great Again."

Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway notes the media doesn't seem to like covering the new polls...

According to The Hill:
"Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, on Tuesday blasted the media for being silent on the latest polls, which show a narrowing gap between Trump and Hillary Clinton.

"Three weeks ago every headline & pundit screamed 'Look at the polls! Race is over!' #Polls now tightening; media chatter is poll-free," Conway tweeted.
Several recent national polls have shown Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, gaining ground on Clinton, the Democratic nominee. The NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll released Tuesday, for example, found Clinton beating Trump by 6 points, 48 percent to 42 percent.

Clinton was leading Trump by 8 points in that poll last week. Clinton now leads Trump by 5 points nationally,according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls."


__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson

Bill Clinton Bombshell: Give Detroit Jobs To Syrian Refugees: "It's A Pretty Good Deal"



By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
Bill Clinton apparently doesn't give a damn about the thousands of Detroiters who need work, he thinks Syrian refugees should fill the Motor City's job openings.

Michigan already has more Syrian refugees than ANY other state, who continue to arrive despite Gov. Snyder's request for a temporary pause....

In stunning comments at a Clinton Foundation/CGI event, Clinton said that giving the Syrian refugees jobs instead of Michiganders is a "pretty good deal."



According to reports:

“The truth is that the big loser in this over the long run is going to be Syria. This is an enormous opportunity for Americans,” Bill Clinton said about the Syrian migrant crisis.

Detroit has 10,000 empty, structurally sound houses—10,000. And lot of jobs to be had repairing those houses. Detroit just came out of bankruptcy and the mayor’s trying to do an innovative sort of urban homesteading program there. But it just gives you an example of what could be done. And I think any of us who have ever had any personal experience with either Syrian Americans or Syrian refugees think it’s a pretty good deal.

It is unclear from the video why Clinton seems to think it would be better to fill these Detroit jobs with imported foreign migrants rather than unemployed Americans already living there, who could perhaps benefit from good-paying jobs...
The unearthed video seems to underscore Donald Trump’s recent declaration that, “Hillary Clinton would rather provide a job to a refugee from overseas than to give that job to unemployed African-American youth in cities like Detroit who have become refugees in their own country."

I guess Detroiters didn't give enough to the Clinton Foundation.
Speaking of the Clinton Foundation, Huma Abedin recently visited Michigan in a covert stop to Dearborn that went unannounced by the Clinton campaign and all major Michigan media...  :(

__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson




Hall Blasts State Rep. Lucido's Plan To "Eliminate The (Precinct) Delegates" Ability To Make Major Decisions

Matt Hall, with Indiana Gov. Mike Pence


By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
Matt Hall is a conservative activist and law student who is also a member of the Michigan Republican Party's State Committee. 

Hall was an early supporter of Donald Trump and was elected to be a Trump Delegate in Cleveland where he served on the Rules Committee. Hall even made the motion to end the "Never Trump" movement's efforts to steal the GOP Presidential nomination from Trump... He recently gave a rousing speech nominating Nikki Snyder for State Board of Education. Snyder prevailed in an impressive upset win over former Judge and State Rep. Bill Runco.

Now Hall is upset with a proposal from State Rep. Pete Lucido to strip the ability of precinct delegates to decide the GOP nominee for offices like Attorney General, Lt. Governor, and Secretary of State. Lucido told MIRS "let's get rid of the delegates."

In a statement, Hall wrote Lucido's efforts were "arrogant." 
"Rep. Peter Lucido wants to take away the voice of the grassroots republicans (and democrats) to select their party's nominee for Secretary of State, Attorney General, and Lt. Governor. His desire to "get rid of the delegates" is just another example of establishment republicans trying to take away the voice of the party grassroots. Grassroots Republicans need to band together to defeat Lucido's arrogant and disenfranchising legislation.

First, by electing the Lt Gov candidate separately in a primary election, the Gubernatorial nominee would have no voice in selecting a candidate he or she would like to run with. If the candidates ran as a team, this would prevent the candidate from selecting one of the other candidates (or their supporters) to bring the party together (an option that is sometimes necessary).
Secondly, the convention process allows our most dedicated, and hardworking grassroots republicans the opportunity to influence the statewide ticket. This ensures that some of our candidates are true to the base of the party, and not chosen by who can raise the most money from Lansing special interests. 
The system is working, our republican convention has nominated strong conservative candidates who have gone on to win their election, and who have been true to the grassroots of the party once elected including Candice Miller, Mike Cox, Terri Lynn Land, and Bill Schuette. I have confidence that our other republican legislators see the benefit of the current system and will bury this legislation, but we need to make our voices heard."
Hall, right, with Darlene Dowling Thompson, Scott Hagerstrom, and CJ Galdes (Photo by DarKen Photography)

Hall also worries about Dems hijacking the party's nominees.

"With the state's current open primary law, Lucido's bill would take away the voice of grassroots conservatives and instead allow Democrats and other non-Republicans to influence the selection of these important statewide Republican candidates," Hall tells WMP.

Hall, who serves on the MIGOP Policy Committee, believes that it is possible for the State Committee to override Lucido's legislation by adopting party rules requiring candidates to continue to be nominated by the convention.

"Regardless, it creates an unnecessary fight within the Republican Party, sending the wrong message to grassroots Republicans," Hall said.

State Rep. Pete Lucido

According to MIRS:
"The Michigan Republican Party (MRP), like the Democrats, selects its nominees for attorney general, secretary of state and lieutenant governor every four years at a state convention.
But if a Macomb County lawmaker has his way, the process would be taken away from convention delegates and placed in the hands of the statewide voting public.

"The current system is not a democracy," said Rep. Peter LUCIDO (R-Shelby Twp.), who has drafted a yet-to-be-introduced bill to abolish the current nominating process. "Let's get rid of the delegates."
Stay tuned!
__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Snyder+McMillin Win SBOE Race As Shmina Overcomes False Flag Email

 
Nikki Snyder with her husband


By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
Despite a desperate attempt to smear her with a false flag email pretending to be Norm Hughes, Kim Shmina prevailed Saturday in the race to decide the Republican nominee for the Wayne State Board Of Governors.

In the most watched election of the convention, former State Rep. Tom McMillin and conservative activist and teacher Nikki Snyder won the nominations for State Board of Education.

According to Chad Livengood of the Detroit News:

"Only the races for the Wayne State board and the State Board of Education were contested.

For Wayne State University’s two open seats, Republicans nominated Troy plastic surgeon Dr. Michael Busuito and Kim Shmina, a nurser practitioner from Fair Haven and former Wayne State nursing instructor. Busuito lost a 2014 race for the Wayne State board by 4,962 votes..

In a six-way race for two spots on the ballot for the State Board of Education, former state Rep. Tom McMillin of Rochester Hills and Whitmore Lake GOP activist Nicolette Snyder prevailed.

In accepting the GOP nomination, McMillin stressed the need for party unity in order for Republicans like himself to prevail."

Snyder was the top vote-getter...
__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson

Renowned West Michigan Businessman Ted Fricano Named Trump Ottawa County Co-Chair, Joins Ihrman+Schindlbeck


Fricano
By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
 Renowned West Michigan businessman Ted Fricano, owner of Fricano Place in Muskegon, has been named as a Trump Ottawa County Co-Chair according to a press release.

The popular pizza maker, a Spring Lake resident, is joined by West Michigan Republicans founder, small business owner, and Trump delegate Diane Schindlbeck, as well as  Ottawa County GOP Executive Director Hunter Ihrman.

Fricano recently hosted a "Platform and Politics" meeting in conjunction with Michigan Conservative Coalition to allow community members to discuss what they believe the Republican Party's platform should entail. He also hosted a rally to spotlight the need to improve Muskegon after comments he made at a Muskegon City Commission meeting went "viral."

Stay tuned!
__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson

Breaking: Trump Leads Hillary In Michigan In Latest Reuters Poll



By Brandon Hall 
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
 As Donald Trump prepares for a major visit to Detroit on Labor Day weekend, a new Reuters poll shows Trump leading Hillary Clinton in the Great Lakes State 44% to 43%.

>>>View the poll HERE.




"Winning the White House depends as much on who comes out to vote as which candidate Americans prefer. Each week, we poll more than 15,000 people, then factor in likely turnout among key demographics to see how voting would play out in the Electoral College. Explore different scenarios. Or read how we did it."

__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson

WOW: Khan Headed To Michigan With Radical Anti-Israeli Egyptian Leader Sympathetic To The Muslim Brotherhood

Khan


By Brandon Hall
(Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com)
Khizr Khan, the father of a soldier killed in Iraq and well known for his feud with Donald Trump, will appear at an event in Dearborn in a few weeks with Amr Moussa, an Egyptian leader whose rise can be traced to his immense hatred of Israel.

Moussa has refused to visit the Holocaust Museum, said Hamas was not a terrorist group, said Egypt shouldn't respond to the 9/11 attacks if Israel was a part of the coalition, and is sympathetic to the Muslim Brotherhood.

The event takes place on September 29th at the Ford Community and Performing Arts Center in Dearborn.

According to the New Republic, well known as a liberal publication, Moussa is an "anti-Israel demagogue."


They write that "Moussa owes his startling political ascendance primarily to one thing: his shameless exploitation of anti-Israel demagoguery for political gain."

Moussa, long hostile to America and Israel, even refused to visit the Holocaust Memorial. He was forced to backtrack after extreme pressure from the global community.

"As Egypt’s top diplomat, Moussa immediately projected an adversarial approach toward the United States and Israel. One of the first issues he handled was the Madrid Peace Conference, which the George H.W. Bush administration hoped would help shape a new regional order following the Persian Gulf War. When Israel insisted that the administration push for the repeal of a U.N. General Assembly Resolution that equated Zionism with racism as a precondition for joining the peace conference, Moussa demanded that the issue be tabled until after the conference, and Egypt was ultimately absent from the vote. Later, when Israel pursued improved ties with Arab states following the signing of the Oslo Accords in 1993, Moussa argued that full Arab normalization should occur only after the final exchange of territory.

Then, prior to his first official trip to Israel in August 1994, Moussa gratuitously sparked outrage by indicating that he would refuse to visit the Yad Vashem Holocaust memorial. He eventually relented under intense diplomatic pressure but, even then, declined to enter the Hall of Remembrance, where he would have had to wear a yarmulke."

Moussa also "refused to participate in any anti-terrorism campaign that included Israel" after the 9/11 attacks.

Moussa


Newsweek writes that Moussa "has a long history of anti-Israel diatribes."

 They also highlight his radical views.

"Moussa became one of Israel’s most relentless detractors in Egypt. He confronted Israelis at conferences and attack-ed them in television interviews. His tirades even made him the subject of a hit song: Egyptian crooner Shaaban Abdel Rahim’s 2000 “Ana Bakra Israel”—“I Hate Israel.” After chanting the title phrase over and over, the singer adds: “But I love Amr Moussa."

Moussa also said that Hamas is not a terrorist organization...

Also disturbing: Moussa is friendly with the Muslim Brotherhood.

According to reports:

"The prominent leader of the opposition National Salvation Front (NSF), Amr Moussa, has met with the first deputy of the Muslim Brotherhood’s guide, Khairat al-Shater, during a dinner hosted by the head of the Ghad el-Thawra Party, Ayman Nour, at his residence.

The meeting has sparked unprecedented controversy, as it was arranged and held without the knowledge of the NSF’s leadership. Criticism has been even more prevalent, as Nour’s media office denied the meeting, while Moussa confirmed it."

>>>Huma Abedin also recently visited Dearborn in a covert visit that went unannounced by the Clinton campaign...


__________________________________________________________________
Brandon Hall is a lifelong political nerd from Grand Haven, and is the Managing Editor of West Michigan Politics.

>>>Email him at WestMiPolitics@Gmail.com

Facebook
Twitter

Photo By Darlene Dowling Thompson